Colin Moran: Safe Or Safest?
Yesterday, I took a look at Kris Bryant and how his entering the Cubs organization shakes up the depth chart. Tonight, I’ll take a 180 and focus on Colin Moran who fits with his new organization better than any other player taken in the first round.
The Marlins have no third baseman. Well, they technically do, but Placido Polanco should be sitting on the couch next to me eating a bowl of ice cream. They also have no strong third base options at the minor league level. For Miami, Moran falling to number six was a dream scenario. For fantasy owners, this is a dream scenario as well.
Moran is more safe than sexy, but a safe player to a terrible team with no third base prospect in a so-so draft class is fantasy gold — especially in dynasty formats.
Would it surprise you if Moran was the first position player to reach the bigs? That has value. Think of ceiling versus floor as a sliding scale, not an either or.
Let’s say Pirates first rounder Austin Meadows earns an “A” grade for ceiling and a “C” grade for floor due to being a high school player and far away from surfacing. If Moran has a “B” ceiling and an “A-” floor due to experience and opportunity, then who’s the better play?
For years, I sold out for ceiling above all else. Now, not so much. As the years go by, I scout the “can’t miss” guys who miss and leads to a more conservative approach. I swing for the fences less than I used to.
What did you all think of the draft coverage? My favorite moment was Jonathan Mayo rebuffing Harold Reynolds‘ Moneyball nonsense. On a draft show, Mayo is in his element. He was at his best during this exchange.
John Hart‘s statement about the Rangers not missing on picks was the other statement which really stuck with me. I’ve scouted Jake Skole, Kellin Deglan and others. The Rangers miss, and miss quite a bit in the first round. This doesn’t mean they don’t add value in later rounds, or have a bad strategy. But if there’s one place the Rangers have not made out like bandits, it has been in the first round of the MLB Draft.
25 Jan 2014 / Mike Newman /
Categories: MLB Analysis
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