Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds: 4/10/14
Yesterday’s daily fantasy baseball recommendations included Colby Rasmus, Dioner Navarro, Junior Lake and James Loney for a combined $10,400. The foursome earned 14.25 points — an excellent return on inexpensive options. Thursday’s selections include a catcher, first baseman and shortstop who produced at over 200% of MLB average in their situational matchups. Plus, we are recommending a cheap arm with a promising match up against a team struggling to score runs.
Jenrry Mejia, SP, New York Mets
Even with a poor start to his MLB career, Mejia has a career xFIP of 3.81 away from home. In 2013, 22 of his 27 1/3 innings pitched came on the road. Small sample I know, but Mejia did post a 2.25 xFIP in those innings pitched. Meanwhile, the Braves have scored fewer runs than any team in MLB over the past week. And in 2013, Atlanta tied for 3rd in MLB in total strikeouts. Not sure if a win is in the cards in daily fantasy baseball, but the savings on a $5,400 Mejia allowed me to load up the outfield with stars who have extremely favorable match ups.
Dioner Navarro, C, Toronto Blue Jays
Is this cheating? Maybe the well runs dry in daily fantasy baseball today, but I don’t think it will. In 2013, Navarro had a wRC+ of 266 at home against LHP (100 wRC+ is MLB average). Today’s opposing pitcher, Dallas Keuchel, has a 4.16 xFIP on the road in his short career. In Toronto, an excellent hitter’s park, I’ll just keep penciling Navarro in at $2,500 throughout the home stand.
Ryan Howard, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies
At $3,200, Ryan Howard faces right-hander Marco Estrada at home today. In 2013, Howard only hit RHP a home, posting a wRC+ of 232 against them. I wound up having enough money to play Edwin Encarnacion today in daily fantasy baseball and did, but Howard was my starting first baseman until I made the decision to use Mejia over Gerrit Cole in windy Chicago. Start Howard with confidence.
Jordy Mercer, SS, Pittsburgh Pirates
Mercer is my top value play of the day. In 2013, the shortstop had a wRC+ of 249 away versus LHP. Today, he’ll face left-hander Travis Wood and his home xFIP of 4.66 in 2013. At $2,600, Mercer is in the perfect situation to be a beast in daily fantasy baseball today.
In Daily Fantasy Baseball, I’m Spending In The Outfield Today
Starling Marte (situational wRC+ of 179), Bryce Harper (situational wRC+ of 192) and Jose Bautista (situational wRC+ of 215) are my outfielders today. Yes, the price being paid is steep, but with situational production at nearly twice league average, it’s the equivalent of a six-man outfield today.
10 Apr 2014 / Mike Newman /
Tags: Daily Fantasy Baseball
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