Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds: 4/30/14
Yesterday was a banner day for Daily Fantasy Baseball Diamonds. John Lackey, Shane Victorino and Chris Owings combined for 25.5 points at the rock bottom price of $13,400. Hopefully, readers cashed in on the picks and won big. Today’s diamonds include a quartet of undervalued assets with strong situational match ups. Check back Monday through Friday for my best value picks. Even better, subscribe and see every pick, every day for just $1 per week.
Tim Hudson, SP, Giants ($6,900)
In an injury shortened 2013, Hudson posted a 3.59 xFIP at home as a member of the Atlanta Braves. With the Giants, he has been even better, posting three wins in five starts while allowing 10 less hits than innings pitched. Tonight, he faces Robbie Erlin in daily fantasy baseball, a match up which will result in more good fortune. In his young career, Erlin has a career xFIP of 5.00 on the road. And with Buster Posey and Hunter Pence feasting on left-handed pitching, it will be ugly. Meanwhile, the slow and steady Hudson will win the game and chip in 15 points like John Lackey last night.
Chris Owings, SS, Diamondbacks ($2,700)
In a repeat performance, Chris Owings faces a right-hander at home where he’s a near auto play. Jordan Lyles is off to a fine start, but his 4.22 xFIP in away games means the Diamondbacks shortstop is in for another productive night. A jolt of power would be great, but another two-hit effort is nothing to scoff at. In daily fantasy baseball, Owings allows me to play an extra All-Star at another position.
Domonic Brown, OF, Phillies ($3,100)
In 2013, Bartolo Colon posted a 4.21 xFIP on the road as a member of the Oakland Athletics. Meanwhile, Brown produced at 65% better than league average at home versus RHP. Early in 2014, Brown hasn’t shown the same power as last season, but this is daily fantasy baseball and today is what matters. With just one extra base hit in his last 10 games, Brown facing a struggling pitcher with a fastball heavy arsenal is an opportunity to break out.
Anthony Rendon, 2B, Nationals ($3,200)
In his young career, Anthony Rendon has been 83% better than the league average against LHP on the road. Tonight, he faces Brett Oberholtzer and his career xFIP of 4.38 at home. Each week, I find myself recommending Rendon against LHP because he crushes them. And because he’s not nearly as strong against righties, his price will continue to be suppressed. Works for me!
Going With The Gut In Daily Fantasy Baseball
Josmil Pinto mashes right-handed pitchers at home. And while Zack Greinke is one of the game’s best, his xFIP on the road was just 4.02 last season. Even so, I’m opting for Buster Posey against Robbie Erlin instead even though Pinto has a better situational split. For as much as I like playing the odds in daily fantasy baseball, years of following baseball comes into play as well. With Posey hitting a home run last night and Erlin coming off a wretched start, my gut says to play Posey for the extra $400. If you enjoyed this piece and want to try your hand at daily fantasy baseball, please use our affiliate link below to sign up. It’s a great way to support ROTOscouting!
30 Apr 2014 / Mike Newman /
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