FAAB Fantasy Baseball Targets (Pitchers): 7/25/2014
The second half of the season is in full swing and fantasy owners are analyzing whether to go for the flag or restock for next year. This week’s FAAB fantasy baseball targets will satisfy both groups as we feature two top prospects, two veterans who could provide end of roster impact down the stretch, and a starter who should be high on every owner’s list regardless of current standing. Bid recommendations are based on a $100 FAAB budget.
Jacob deGrom, RHP, New York Mets
$15 (44% Yahoo / 54% ESPN / 75% CBS)
Jacob deGrom has been arguably the most surprising rookie of 2014. Barely a footnote on most industry New York Mets’ top-10 lists, deGrom’s performance has been better than ace Zack Wheeler. Despite pitching 34 fewer innings than Wheeler, deGrom’s fWAR is 1.3 to Wheeler’s 1.4. With a 3.01 ERA, 3.10 FIP, and an 87 FIP- (13% below league average), deGrom’s performance suggests more breakout than fluke. In the last month the right-hander is a top-15 starter in fantasy baseball. Yet he’s still available in about half of Yahoo and ESPN leagues. His ownership percentage is about to shoot towards 100%. Grab him before it does.
Brandon McCarthy, RHP, New York Yankees
$7 (18% Yahoo / 14% ESPN / 48% CBS)
As the end of the season nears, it just takes solid starts from an end of the roster pitcher to secure the playoffs. Brandon McCarthy’s time with the Arizona Diamondbacks landed him on waivers in most leagues, but a trade to the New York Yankees has turned his season around. Recent reports said the Diamondbacks discouraged him from throwing one of his primary pitches. Reincorporating a cutter is part of an effort to make McCarthy’s repertoire less predictable. A change in repertoire and approach is the key to finding value others don’t. It’s also what makes McCarthy a FAAB fantasy baseball target.
Neftali Feliz, RHP, Texas Rangers
$6 (38% Yahoo / 34% ESPN / 29% CBS)
Following Joakim Soria’s trade to the Detroit Tigers, Neftali Feliz is back on top of the Texas Rangers bullpen. However, he’s not the same pitcher who saved 72 games for the Rangers between 2010-11. He’s a cautionary tale of Tommy John surgery, still missing almost 5 mph off his fastball compared to his Rookie of the Year season in 2010. Even so, ROTOscouting’s Joe Pytleski identified Feliz as next in line for the closer chair soon after the Rangers summoned him from Triple-A in July. While his surface stats have been solid (a 2.61 ERA and 0.77 WHIP), a 5.75 FIP and 2.7% K-BB% paint the picture of a pitcher on the brink of regression. Saves are saves and Feliz is worth a bid. But bid conservatively based on his declining skills while other owners bid wildly based on name value.
Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
$5 (2% Yahoo / 1% ESPN / 12% CBS)
Considered one of the Toronto Blue Jays top pitching prospects, Aaron Sanchez’s continued control struggles have caused some in the prospect community to relegate him to a future in the bullpen. While the Blue Jays called up Sanchez this week to work out of the pen, they certainly don’t share others’ pessimism. Neither does ROTOscouting’s Mike Newman [FULL SCOUTING REPORT] who can still see a number-two starter ceiling. With two 70 pitches (a fastball and curveball categorized as one of the best Newman scouted in person), Sanchez has the ability to miss bats in the majors. A walk rate over 4 BB/9 at virtually every minor league stop and a declining K/9 can’t be entirely discounted. But with pedigree and two elite pitches, Sanchez is worth a bid or a “buy low” trade offer in keeper and dynasty leagues.
Luis Severino, RHP, New York Yankees
$4 (NA Yahoo / NA ESPN / 3% CBS)
One of the breakout prospects of 2014 has been Luis Severino. His appearance in the Futures Game this month may have been the first time many had seen him but Mike Newman scouted the flame-throwing right-hander in May [FULL SCOUTING REPORT]. His mechanics are unrefined and the command of his secondary pitches comes and goes. Buy the Dominican’s calling card is an electric plus-plus fastball and an explosive profile Newman compared to Julio Teheran. With a number two ceiling, keeper and dynasty owners must act now before he’s included on every top 100 list this off-season. Severino is the FAAB fantasy baseball target of the week for dynasty leagues.
FAAB Fantasy Baseball Targets
As more and more fantasy owners are eliminated from playoff contention, this column will focus more on identifying pitchers whose long-term ROI outweighs the short-term. ROTOscouting will be looking to give subscribers a head start on next year.
25 Jul 2014 / Brian Molter /
1-On-1 ROTO Strategy Session
The Best Of RS
- Can Alex "Chi-Chi" Gonzalez Crack the Texas Rangers Opening Day Rotation?
- Fantasy Baseball Trade Deadline 101: A Former MLB GM’s Take
- Felix Hernandez and Solo Home Run Situations: A Blueprint For Longevity
- JR Graham: Is He Still An MLB Arm For The Atlanta Braves?
- Mason Williams: Is It Time To Label Him A Bust For The Yankees?
- Mike Newman's Top-50 Fantasy Baseball Prospects Scouted in 2014
- Nick Kingham Scouting Report (2014)
- Rangers Joey Gallo, Marlins Giancarlo Stanton And Strikeouts
- The ROTOscouting Baseball Podcast
- Top-10 Fantasy Baseball Prospects By Team
- Will Mike Moustakas Finally Put It Together Next Season?