Fantasy Fun With Home/Road Splits
BASEBALL. STARTS. TOMORROW! In the Ottoneu Experts League, teams will be gunning for me as I attempt to repeat — Especially since the $1,000 prize pool has returned for another year. After losing a number of talented players, I need an edge. It’s time to try something new and share this strategy with you.
I took career home/road splits versus lefties/righties and populated a simple spreadsheet. At present, I’m using career OPS, but may switch over to career ISO considering it’s a 5×5 with no OBP. My only concern is speed players like Angel Pagan would never be in the lineup if ISO was the primary stat used. OPS points to more stolen base and runs scored opportunities which balances power/speed for me.
900+ OPS is highlighted green and indicates players who need to be in the lineup
800+ OPS is highlighted yellow and indicates players who should be in the lineup
700+ OPS is not colored because it’s in the average range of production expected
< 700 OPS is colored red and indicates players who should be benched
Now raise your hand if you thought Alfonso Soriano would be the steadiest performer across the board?
Of course this isn’t perfect. Players with limited MLB experience, as well as grizzled vets who were great will be skewed a bit. However, it’s still great to know Danny Espinosa is better versus lefties than Robinson Cano when he faces a lefty away from Yankee Stadium.
Also, I’m sure other owners will raise an eyebrow at me the first time I choose to play an empty third base position when both Alvarez and Machado are away and facing left-handers.
Maybe the most interesting development is Anthony Rizzo won’t play much after I kept him at $11 and planned for him to be my regular first baseman. With Buster Posey as C/1B eligible, there will be many days where C/1B/UT will be filled by a trio of Perez, Posey, Berkman or Hart.
Speaking of the utility spot, I was worried about it headed into the season, but now it seems I’ll be able to slot a 1.000+ OPS player there daily.
For the record, I have no idea if this will work. I’m going to give it a try anyway. Placing players in the lineup when they are most likely to be successful is common sense. Who’s willing to try it with me and keep me up to date on how it goes?
24 Jan 2014 / Mike Newman /
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