Hunter Dozier Scouting Report (2014)
In the 2013 draft, Kansas City drafted Hunter Dozier in the first round. Considered an overdraft at the time, he clubbed the Pioneer League into submission before producing an 800-plus OPS in the South Atlantic League. With doubters silenced, Royals fans are looking to him as an answer at third base in Kansas City. The team is in first place despite a horrid season from Mike Moustakas. With “Moose” looking like a bust, is Dozier the answer at the hot corner?
Dozier has a well-proportioned 6-foot-4, 220 pound frame. With broad, strong shoulders and a muscular lower-half, Dozier has the prototype build for a third baseman. His body and movements afford the projection of a solid-average defender at the hot corner, where his plus arm plays fully. He is athletic for his size, but not many players can handle shortstop at Dozier’s height. He profiles as a solid-average third baseman with soft hands and fantastic instincts. Expect average MLB range from the third baseman.
Dozier lacks the athleticism of teammate Bubba Starling, but possesses impressive agility for a player his size. On a line drive hit to his left, Dozier made a leaping catch, snagging the ball out of mid-air and flashing this athleticism.
At the plate, Dozier is an intelligent batter. He understands situational hitting and makes adjustments between at bats. His swing has leverage, creating plus raw power in batting practice. Dozier shows excellent balance and keeps his hands back. The hands start early, but Dozier shows excellent bat control nonetheless. In presenting with a slight loop in his swing, one is forced to question whether contact issues with inner-half velocity at higher levels will be a problem.
Despite a lack of current power in the Carolina League (which suppresses power), he should grow into more at physical maturity. Hunter Dozier shows feel for contact to all fields. the right-handed hitter works counts and understands how to identify pitches to drive in the context of a game. He was able to shorten up to protect the plate on 0-2 counts, but also knew when to lengthen the swing to drive pitches.
Hunter Dozier is a 40-runner, clocking in a home-to-first time of 4.46 at a slightly relaxed pace down the line. The former shortstop shows sharp instincts on the base paths which will allow his present speed to play up.
With quality defense at third base, 20-25 home runs and a batting average of .260-.275, Hunter Dozier projects well. Factor these numbers with great on-field makeup and he’ll develop into a quality MLB third baseman. It’s not an impact profile, but playoff teams need productive big leaguers to mix with a star or two. Dozier will develop into a great secondary piece.
TOOL PRESENT FUTURE PROJECTED ROLE: EVERYDAY THIRD BASEMAN Hitting ability 30 50 Power 40 55 Speed 40 40 Fielding ability 45 55 Arm 60 60
Owning Hunter Dozier
It’s gone relatively unnoticed, but third base production is down in recent years. This makes viable third base options more valuable on the whole. While Dozier isn’t as sexy as Kris Bryant or Maikel Franco, he projects as a 12-team mixed league starter in his prime. In dynasty and keeper leagues, the struggles of Moustakas has opened the door for Dozier to develop at his own pace and seize an MLB opportunity with ready. it’s not time to buy Hunter Dozier, but he’s a solid hold at this point. In the Royals system, it’s difficult to envision a scenario where the third baseman brings back enough in return to warrant dealing.
19 Jun 2014 / Spencer Schneier /
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