IFA Dynasty Draft Strategy
Wagner Mateo or Mike Trout? In 2009, I decided to draft an outfielder with the final pick of the first round of a dynasty league draft. At the time, Mateo had signed for three million dollars as the top IFA in his class. Trout was a late first rounder with a combination of skills and polish. My head told me to select Trout, but my heart screamed Mateo. At the time, it was all about the ceiling. Skills be damned.
Needless to say, I drafted Wagner Mateo. And with it, the future of that dynasty league team went up in flames. It was the last time I ever selected an IFA in the first two rounds of a dynasty league draft. A saving grace of the draft was my selecting Yankees Gary Sanchez in the third round. It was a consolation prize, but one who is still in A-Ball four years later.
This encapsulates the problem with selecting IFA’s in dynasty league drafts. Not only are IFA’s more likely to flame out, they take many years to pan out — often longer than you will even be in a league. To date, I’ve never had an IFA selected at 16 or 17 log quality innings or contribute offensively.
For every Miguel Sano, there are ten Wagner Mateo’s.. or Guillermo Pimentel‘s.. or Martin Peguero‘s. I should know. I’ve owned them all. In fact, I found an old dynasty league roster from a league I lost interest in.
The minors roster included ten IFA’s including nine from Latin America.
Is it a good group? sure. Top-100 prospects? Yes. Busts? A shitload.
Last week, I mentioned the number of young players breaking through in a big way and credited it to the high school national tournament circuit. Major college baseball plays a major role as well. The level of competition is intense and is a great segue into the professional ranks. Because of this, I’m going to stick with my current strategy of taking the best position player in round one, followed by the best middle infielder/pitcher in round two and the top IFA left in round three.
30 Jan 2014 / Mike Newman /
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