Josh Satin Scouting Report (2009)
Every off season inevitably brings the time and opportunity to dig deeper into a number of lesser known prospects using statistical analysis to find those diamonds in the rough who can be pegged as sleepers for the 2010 season. Mets prospect Josh Satin, who spent his 2009 season with the Savannah Sand Gnats is becoming one of these players. With a mention by John Sickels on his Mets top 20 list, as well as a top 20 ranking by Mack’s Mets, Satin is receiving some definite post-season prospect hype.
Physique & Athleticism: At 6’2″, 200 lbs., Satin is lean and in excellent shape. At 25, he has no physical projection left and is unlikely to add much in terms of size or strength. Athletically, Satin is a bit choppy in his baseball movements and can become a bit rigid both at the plate and in the field.
Offense: With a .288/.389/.426 line accumulated mostly in the “Sally”, Satin’s numbers look better on paper than he did in person as he consistently faced pitching sometimes five to six years his junior. His strengths include quick wrists, some natural pop, and the ability to drive plus-velocity fastballs middle-in. However, with his advanced age, how many of his 40 doubles can really be expected to become home runs in the future?
His load and swing mechanics work for him at this point, but I’m not sure how his pronounced hitch and extended bottom arm (see picture) will play against more advanced pitching. He already struggles some against decent breaking pitches and I question his ability to hit the ball with authority up-the-middle or to the opposite field. Throughout the season, he proved to be a master at hitting flairs just beyond the reach of the second baseman or shortstop.
Defense: His versatility to play a number of positions left him as the Sand Gnats most valuable player in my mind, but this information alone is misleading. He was the teams primary second baseman, but also spent time at the infield corners. At second, his lateral range and hands were a bit below average and his arm was not good enough to consistently turn the double play or make plays to his backhand side behind second base. He rarely booted balls, but when he did, he came out of his defensive position too early allowing tough hops to eat him up.
Speed: Quite simply, speed is in no way a part of his skill set. Throughout the season, I did not see him make mistakes on the base paths, but his base running instincts did not lead to extra bases either. His speed, along with current defensive shortcomings make it very difficult for me to project him at second base over the long haul.
Josh Satin is “tweener” on both offense and defense. A player with his offensive skill set normally has more speed and up-the-middle defensive ability which leaves me questioning where would fit in should he defy the odds and reach the big league level. Add to this his advanced age and I have trouble buying into Satin as a legit prospect. However, he is a smart player and works hard on the field leaving somebody close to the team suggesting he might stick with the organization for quite awhile as a coach after his playing days are over.
24 Jan 2014 / Mike Newman /
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