Lewis Brinson Scouting Report (2014)
Scouts, writers, and prospect aficionados of all kinds perk up when the Hickory Crawdads, Single-A affiliate of the Texas Rangers arrive in town. With four 1st round draft picks (as well as a 2nd and 3rd rounder) including Lewis Brinson, Travis Demeritte, Kellin Deglan, and major international free agents (IFA) such as Ronald Guzman, Nomar Mazara, Jairo Beras, the roster is loaded with potential impact talent. This team yields scouting reports for weeks, if not months. First up, Lewis Brinson, the Rangers 1st round draft pick in 2012, offers an intriguing tool set that is both fun to watch and capable of MLB-value in the future. The right-handed hitter was 1-5 on Saturday, with two strikeouts and a moonshot home run. Onlookers witnessed both the good and bad of what Brinson brings to a scouting report.
Video by Mike Newman – 2013 Season
Standing 6-foot-3, 170 pounds, Brinson offers an athletic, projectable frame with long levers which he uses to his advantage. Compared to other players on the field, the body really stands out. The raw tools are equally impressive, clocking in at 4.25 second home-to-first time and showing a second gear when needed (both in the field and on the base paths). It’s a 55-grade run tool by definition, but with his second gear, it plays up as plus.
Brinson’s arm showed well. He possesses a solid-average arm, which flashed plus. Present arm strength is more than enough to project assists from center field. On defense, his reads on batted balls and route running is strong, and his 55 arm/60 run tools project his becoming a plus center fielder.
While the run, throw, and field tools are important, the two most important tools for a position player relate to the bat. Lewis Brinson offers plus bat-speed, and plus raw power to accompany it. He has a small leg-kick and works from an upright stance, which limits his balance and plate coverage. Brinson generates power from natural bat speed, which was showcased with a towering home run to left field in Saturday’s game. He’ll develop the ability to crush inside and upper-half pitches due to athleticism and bat speed. But due to his upright stance, pitchers exploit Brinson with quality offspeed and low/outside pitches.
Brinson struggled to adjust to off-speed pitches, which will result in onslaught of breaking balls and chase pitches as he advances through the system. For a player who struck out in 38% of plate appearances just a year ago, it will be crucial for Brinson to make adjustments for his plus raw power to play in games. Slight adjustments in the batter’s box would help Brinson settle into at bats and better cover the outer-half. , This would allow the power to play as average in games. If Brinson develops fully, he’s a Chris Young-type with just enough hit tool for 20-home run power. Strong stolen base totals are also expected.
While this report is pessimistic on the soon-to-be 20 year old Lewis Brinson, a player who provides plus defense up the middle and 20-20 potential offensively is a valuable asset. Brinson’s realistic ceiling is that. When evaluating a young, toolsy player’s ability to hit, the margin of error is large. The raw tools exist for Brinson to overshoot the projection and become a star. That’s what the Rangers organization is banking on. But with the swing-and-miss present in his profile, Brinson is just a likely to never advance beyond Double-A. Such is the nature of a player like Lewis Brinson who has tools that evaluators can dream on for days, but swing-and-miss that can keep them awake at night.
TOOL PRESENT FUTURE Hitting ability 20 30 Power 30 50 Speed 60 60 Fielding ability 50 60 Arm 55 55 PROJECTED ROLE: EVERYDAY CENTER FIELDER
Owning Lewis Brinson
Ceilings are sexy. Just know most players with elite tool sets won’t pan out due to a lack of baseball skills. In deep dynasty league formats, Lewis Brinson is worth a flyer. However, he’s the definition of boom or bust prospect and the smart owner churns through ten players like Brinson to find one Byron Buxton.
10 Apr 2014 / Spencer Schneier / 2
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