Mike’s Top-50 Fantasy Baseball Prospects Scouted: #15-11
Today’s installment of Mike’s top-50 fantasy baseball prospects scouted includes a pair of Yankees, a 2014 1st round pick, an unheralded catching prospect and a young Rockies slugger. At ROTOscouting, our motto is, “Fantasy Baseball Fueled By Baseball Scouting”. In living up to this, any and all future prospect and player lists published here will have a fantasy baseball slant.
In a first attempt at perfecting the process, I sat down with my scouting notes in the hope of creating a top-20 prospect list of players scouted in 2014. The result? 54 names and the need to expand the list to 50 players.
Because this list is meant for the dynasty fantasy baseball player, it’s important to have a basic system for separating fantasy value from MLB value.
1. Review scouting notes on baseball prospects from the ballpark.
2. Review statistics and level movement in 2014.
3. Run a basic 5×5 auction value calculator using statistics from the 2013 season
4. Compare peak projections for each player and match it actual production of a MLB player at the same position. This will yield a fantasy baseball peak dollar value.
5. Assess a $1 penalty per full season minor league level not completed (MLB = $0, Triple-A = $1, Double-A = $2, High-A = $3, Single-A = $4, Short Season = $5)
6. After final dollar values were totaled, the information was used in a 50-man mock draft. Most picks were made in order of value, but I did stray on occasion.
Mike’s Top-50 Fantasy Baseball Prospects Scouted: #15-11
15. Ryan McMahon, 3B, Colorado Rockies
Age 19 / MLB ETA = 2017
2014 Stats: 482 AB, .282/.358/.502, 67 XBH, 8/13 SB
The coolest thing about McMahon’s 2014 season is the fact the left-handed slugger was a better hitter on the road than in the modified little league park he called home. Knowing this, it’s easier to project stable production as he continues to move through the Rockies organization. On the field, the Tourists’ clean up hitter made plenty of loud contact, but presented with swing-and-miss as well. As a taller player, his controlling the strike zone better will be a key to continued development. On defense, Ryan McMahon (ROTOscouting Report) is a shoe in to stick at third base, although the potential is there for him to slide over to first base with Nolan Arenado winning gold gloves at the hot corner. In 2013, Ryan Zimmerman accumulated $13 in value fueled by a .275 batting average with 26 home runs and six steals. The top-100 prospect can be a similar offensive player.
14. Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees
Age 22 / MLB ETA = 2016
2014 Stats: 467 AB, .308/.419/.486, 45 XBH, 1/1 SB
Right-handed power hitting prospects are a rare sight and Judge has the ability to fit the bill if things break right. At present, a two part swing limits his in game power. If he’s able to become more fluid at the plate (I have doubts given his athleticism), then his combination of power and patience will be an asset in 5×5 fantasy baseball leagues. In 2013, Brandon Moss batted .256 with 30 home runs and four stolen bases. This was worth $17 in actual value. Admittedly, I expected Aaron Judge (ROTOscouting Report) to appear much further down this list, but running the auction values forced me to see the right fielder through a different lens. With fewer home runs being his in MLB, power is at a premium with Judge owners waiting to cash in.
13. Rob Refsnyder, 2B, New York Yankees
Age 23 / MLB ETA = 2015
2014 Stats: 515 AB, .318/.387/.497, 58 XBH, 9/18 SB
Refsnyder is one of the baseball prospects on this list. Upper level production hints at being MLB ready and the Yankees have a gaping hole at second base. Maybe New York decides to keep throwing money at broken down veterans, but the second base prospect has the skill set of a player capable of breaking camp with the big club in 2015. Make no mistake, Rob Refsnyder’s (ROTOscouting Report) tools aren’t big, but he’s an all-around baseball player with no gaping holes. In 2013, Martin Prado produced $14 in value behind a .282 batting average with 14 home runs and three stolen bases. After a dominant minor league campaign, Refsnyder has the potential to develop into a similar player offensively.
12. Carlos Rodon, LHP, Chicago White Sox
Age 21 / MLB ETA = 2015
2014 Stats: 24.2 IP, 2.92 ERA, 20 H, 38/13 K/BB
Next to Clayton Kershaw, Rodon has the best slider I’ve seen in person. It’s a pitch which will allow for success at the MLB level regardless of how well the rest of his arsenal develops. In late August, Carlos Rodon presented as a much different pitcher than the prospect scouted as a sophomore with North Carolina State. It appeared as if the White Sox were forcing the left-hander to work on fastball command and improving the change-up. Kudos to them for doing it now! In his final start, the slider dominated, but Rodon was unable to hold runners on and struggled with iffy command. He’s not ready for MLB yet, but a fall in instructs and spring with the big club can help add the finishing touches. A lingering concern worth mentioning is the effort in his delivery. In 2013, Francisco Liriano contributed $13 in value behind a 3.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 163 strikeouts. If things break right, Rodon can match this level of production quickly.
11. Chance Sisco, C, Baltimore Orioles
Age 19 / MLB ETA = 2018
2014 Stats: 426 AB, .340/.406/.448, 40 XBH, 1/3 SB
In an April look, Sisco was noted as a prospect to round out coverage on later in the year. The well-proportioned catcher is an average athlete with a plus hit tool. One of the best pure hitters scouted in 2014, the left-handed hitter has the size and strength to project for power, but appeared happy to pepper line drives up the middle in multiple looks. With experience, he’ll learn to identify pitches to drive and power more impressive power numbers. Behind the plate, Chance Sisco is solid and will stick at the position. In 2013, Buster Posey was worth $18 in a down season where he batting .295 with 15 home runs and two steals. The Orioles prospect has the ability to post like numbers at the MLB level. Amongst baseball prospects, offensive production from the catcher position is immensely valuable.
26 Sep 2014 / Mike Newman /
Categories: Fantasy Baseball Prospect Lists
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