Nomar Mazara: Does A Record Signing Bonus Equal Top-100 Performance?
Few players possess the raw power potential of Texas Rangers prospect Nomar Mazara. The Rangers inked the Dominican outfielder to a record breaking $4.95-Million signing bonus as a July international bonus baby in 2011. The signing of Mazara and Hickory teammate Ronald Guzman (Scouting Report) started the influx of explosive power prospects into Texas’ farm system that now includes Joey Gallo (Scouting Report) and Jairo Beras. While Gallo power potential translated in game action immediately upon his professional debut, Mazara has taken longer to develop. Since June 1st, he has hit ten home runs, slugged .546 and hit 20 extra base hits. Has Nomar Mazara finally emerged after more than a season of struggles in the South Atlantic League?
Standing at 6-foot-4, 200 pounds, the young Mazara’s body compares favorably to players three to four years his senior. Well-proportioned throughout, the youngster has room to add 20-25 pounds of muscle along his journey to the Major Leagues. The added size will have an effect on foot speed, but a power for speed trade is acceptable. Already a tick below average out of the left handed batter’s box, Mazara’s will struggle to maintain foot speed as he ages.
On defense, Mazara’s reactions in right are concerning.While other Hickory outfielders break towards a batted ball, the right fielder reacts in slow motion. Without the foot speed to make up for his deficiency, Mazara is unable to recover from poor jumps. It also effects him on the base paths. On a ball driven towards the right center field gap, the youngster struggled to read the ball, running through quicksand to score from second. A slow runner with average base running instincts scores easily. Also of note on defense, his throwing arm is adequate for right field but lacking the arm strength most right fielders possess.
Despite the offensive domination Mazara has enjoyed the past couple months, the left-handed hitter is still incredibly raw. Oozing plus bat speed, Mazara locks the lead arm during his load. This adds length to his swing and causes extension to start prematurely. When the arm doesn’t lock in place, Mazara is at his most dangerous. Hitting off a firm front side, Mazara generates powerful hip rotation. This boosts to his ability to drive the baseball. When the swing is firing on all cylinders, Mazara is an explosive hitting talent.
Like many Latin American hitting prospects, Mazara struggles identifying off-speed pitches from advanced competition. To maximize returns in international free agency, Latino prospects play few games against live competition and are not introduced to breaking pitches and change-ups until stateside. While this hasn’t effected Mazara’s plate discipline, it does have a direct effect on his ability to barrel the baseball. Out in front on average off-speed pitches, Sally League pitchers with advanced repertoires have feasted on this weakness.
Of the Rangers international bonus babies scouted, Nomar Mazara has the greatest chance of reaching the Major Leagues. His power has translated to game action more quickly than Ronald Guzman. His hit tool has more projection than Hickory teammates Jairo Beras and Travis Demeritte (Scouting Report). Outside of Joey Gallo and Jorge Alfaro (Scouting Report), Mazara is the best position prospect in the Rangers organization. A strong final six weeks of 2014 will vault Mazara into top-100 prospect consideration, if it hasn’t happened already.
Tool Present Future Projected Role Power Hitting MAjor League Regular Hitting Ability 25 50 Power 35 65 Speed 45 40 Fielding Ability 40 40 Arm 50 50
Owning Nomar Mazara
Just 19, Nomar Mazara is unlikely to debut prior to the 2017 season. This leaves him fantasy baseball relevant in dynasty leagues only. With his power blossoming, it’s time to scoop the Rangers prospect before reaching top-100 status. A Mazara owner in the thick of a pennant race will be willing to part with the young Dominican to make a championship push. Be the bottom dweller who deals for him at the deadline.
22 Jul 2014 / Chris Blessing /
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