Taylor Jungmann Scouting Report (2014)
Drafted by the Milwaukee Brewers with its 1st pick in the 2011 draft, Taylor Jungmann was expected to reach the big leagues quickly. After two inconsistent seasons, the tall right-hander is a forgotten man in prospect circles. No longer heralded as a top-100 prospect, Jungmann’s 2014 success has flown under the radar. After cutting down on base runners and increasing his strikeout rate with Double-A Huntsville, he earned a promotion to Triple-A Nashville. With the Brewers recalling Jimmy Nelson, their best pitching prospect last week, what can fans expect from Taylor Jungmann?
Standing 6-foot-6, 210 pounds, the former Texas Longhorn relies on deception over a power arsenal to retire batters. He is a prototypical “across the body thrower.” Most pitchers stride toward home as they deliver a pitch. Jungmann starts his motion on the left side of the rubber then strides towards the third base side before releasing the ball. The stride causes his arm to come across his body to meet up the target. This limits full extension towards home plate, depressing any top-end velocity potential. His mechanics also limit his ability to command pitches.
Jungmann two-seam fastball is his bread-and-butter. Due to size and the deception created by an unorthodox delivery, the 91-92 MPH fastball plays harder in game action. When controlled down in the zone, it’s boring action induces soft contact and misses barrels. When his below-average fastball command rears its ugly head, Jungmann tends to miss up in the zone. The result is harder contact and problem innings.
The right-hander compliments his two-seam fastball with strong, 11-5 curveball. The 77-78 MPH offering changes the eye level of hitters. It is also a true out pitch. The pitch is released from the same arm angle as his fastball and with identical arm speed. It’s deceptive. The curve has late drop, accounting for the swings and misses. Jungmann struggles repeating the action of the pitch, sometimes throwing a flat slurve instead of true curveball. Overall, the curveball is his best off-speed pitch and ready to be an effective big league weapon.
Like many pitchers in Double-A, Jungmann is still searching for feel of his change-up. Thrown identically to his fastball, the change has promise. Unfortunately, the Texan struggles to finish the pitch, resulting in the pitch being left up and flat. At 84-85 MPH, the offering provides solid deceleration off his fastball. Scouting Wily Peralta and Jimmy Nelson in Double-A, each pitcher presented with similar issues with their change ups. Both have improved tremendously, giving Jungmann’s projection an organizational boost.
Taylor Jungmann is a season away from contributing in Milwaukee. The Texan cannot achieve success in the big leagues without better fastball command. The fastball left up will be lit up. An innings eating fourth starter is a foreseeable projection. Unlike other recent Brewers pitching prospects scouted in the Southern League including Nelson, Tyler Thornburg and Johnny Hellwig, Jungmann lacks the floor of a late inning reliever. He’s a starter or bust. The development of his change-up will dictate which role he fills in the organization.
TOOL PRESENT FUTURE PROJECTION Number Four Starter/Innings Eater Fastball 45 55 Curveball 55 60 Change-up 35 45 Command 40 45 Control 45 55
Owning Taylor Jungmann
An innings eater with back end starter projection isn’t exciting. In 12-team mixed leagues, he’s waiver fodder as better pitchers with MLB experience are passed over on a daily basis. In dynasty formats — especially ones like Reality Fantasy Baseball where every starting pitcher is owned, Jungmann is a solid bet to be a back end starter worth keeping under team control into his arbitration years. Unfortunately, contract demands will eventually surpass Taylor Jungmann’s actual value, moving him from asset to liability.
3 Jun 2014 / Chris Blessing / 1
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