Whoops! I Dropped Ryan Braun
Did I screw up? It’s not like I don’t it all the time, but my first look at the available players in the Ottoneu Experts League has the $64 Ryan Braun I dropped as the top player available. This isn’t a surprise as Braun accumulated 1,238 points last season. What is a surprise is no other manager released a player who accumulated more than 1,000. This includes Miggy Cabrera who was kept for $67.
From a roster construction standpoint, I couldn’t afford to keep him. With $279 allocated to $27 players, I’m left with 13 roster spots to fill for less than $10 per. Keeping Braun would have left me fishing for penny stocks the entire auction. My miscalculation was thinking he would not go for more this season. He will.
In this year’s auction, the first tier of talent available includes two players: Matt Kemp and Ryan Braun.
The second tier includes C.C. Sabathia as the top pitcher, along with a number of bats including David Wright, Albert Pujols, Justin Upton, Adrian Gonzalez and Ryan Zimmerman. One might think the spread of talent would cause an even allocation of auction dollars, but I expect Braun and Kemp to go for a mint instead.
Once both players and their $65+ price tags go off the board, I suspect values will plummet on second tier talent resulting in a relatively even distribution of dollars.
This means I’ll have to go fishing in the second tier and lose my security blanket in Ryan Braun. In truth, he has been my fantasy BFF for a few years now.
This also means I’ll have to re-evaluate my auction strategy if CC Sabathia has not been thrown out with the last spot in the first round. For reference, Sabathia/Scherzer are the only 900+ point starters available. Who’s the third ranked pitcher you might ask? Lucas Harrell. What? Who? With such little talent available at the top, throwing a pitcher I don’t want might allow me to save a few bucks on a second tier guy later on.
For those new to auction strategy, it’s often a good idea to throw out guys you don’t want in order to clear money from the board. However, after a few years of auctions, I’ve learned other owners are a bit gun shy out of the gate which presents opportunities.
When I have the money to play with, I’ll mix it up early and pursue two of the top-6 picks. Think of it as being the bully at the poker table who presents as overly aggressive before settling into a more conservative game plan. Beginning fast may also allow you to push prices up a few bucks in spots.
24 Jan 2014 / Mike Newman /
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